Saltyt? Benth J, Hofoss D. Modelling and prediction of weekly incidence of influenza A specimens in England and Wales. Epidemiol Infect. 2008 Apr 7;:1-9
SUMMARYWe propose a rather simple model, which fits well the weekly human influenza incidence data from England and Wales. A standard way to analyse seasonally varying time-series is to decompose them into different components. The residuals obtained after eliminating these components often do not reveal time dependency and are normally distributed. We suggest that conclusions should not be drawn only on the basis of residuals and that one should consider the analysis of squared residuals. We show that squared residuals can reveal the presence of the remaining seasonal variation, which is not exhibited by the analysis of residuals, and that the modelling of such seasonal variations undoubtedly improves model fit.
See Also:
Latest articles in those days:
- Nomenclature Updates to the Hemagglutinin Gene Clade Designations Resulting From the Continued Evolution of High Pathogenicity Avian Influenza A(H5) Virus Clades 2.3.2.1c and 2.3.4.4 11 hours ago
- Mathematical modeling of in vitro replication dynamics for multiple highly pathogenic avian influenza clade 2.3.4.4 viruses in chicken and duck cells 11 hours ago
- H5 influenza virus mRNA-lipid nanoparticle (LNP) vaccination elicits adaptive immune responses in Holstein calves 11 hours ago
- Highly pathogenic avian influenza as a systemic risk - implications for control and preparedness 2 days ago
- Multiple introductions and spread of novel reassortant highly pathogenic avian influenza A (H5N1) clade 2.3.4.4b viruses via wild birds, South Korea, 2024-2025 2 days ago
[Go Top] [Close Window]


