The development of T-cell-based influenza vaccines relies on eliciting broad CD8+ T-cell immunity, wherein T stem cell-like memory (TSCM) cells serve as the ultimate long-lived reservoir for immune memory, thereby unlocking the potential for durable protection against viral drift and shift. However, the specific immunological cues that drive the robust expansion and functional preservation of this self-renewing, multipotent subset remain unknown. Here, utilizing multi-omic systems immunology in a pediatric cohort immunized with live attenuated influenza vaccine, we identified the determinants governing the expansion of influenza virus-reactive TSCM cells. We show that a pre-existing state of innate antiviral readiness, defined by a plasmacytoid dendritic cell-associated type I interferon signature, is the requisite condition for a robust TSCM expansion. Mechanistically, this baseline innate state enhances antigen priming and enforces a qualitative divergence in T-cell fate, driving responders toward a functionally poised, Th1-dominant phenotype while non-responders default to a dysfunctional, hyper-proliferative state. To determine the clinical relevance of this cellular subset, we analyzed an independent controlled human influenza challenge study. This validation revealed a critical functional division of labor in host defense: whereas pre-existing antibodies primarily mitigated symptom severity, the baseline frequency of influenza virus-reactive TSCM cells was the strongest predictor of rapid viral load clearance. These findings establish that the expansion of durable cellular memory is not stochastic but is predetermined by the innate cytokine environment, providing a predictive biomarker for patient stratification and a validated target for adjuvants designed to expand the TSCM reservoir deliberately.