Dai H, Zhou N, Chen M, Li G, Yu X, Su Y, Yi S, Hon. Assess transmissibility of different influenza subtypes: Based on a SEIABR model. Infect Genet Evol. 2022 Jun 22:105319
Objective: Influenza is a worldwide public health problem which causes a serious economic and health burden. In order to provide a scientific basis for improving the prevention and control level of influenza, using dynamic model to evaluate the infection rates of influenza different subtypes from 2010 to 2019 in China.
Methods: This article established SEIABR model based on influenza cases reported by China National Influenza Center from 2010 to 2019. And calculated the transmission rate and Re by combined the natural birth rate, natural death rate, infectious rate, proportion of asymptomatic patients, proportion of untreated patients, recovery rate and fatality rate.
Results: The average infection rate of influenza was (2.38 ± 0.59) × 10-10, and influenza A was (2.24 ± 0.51) × 10-10, influenza B was (2.21 ± 0.68) × 10-10. And average Re were 1.60, 1.51, 1.49. In addition, the infection rates of A /H1N1, A/H3N2, B/Yamagata and B/Victoria were (2.47 ± 0.51) × 10-10, (2.25 ± 0.48) × 10-10, (2.15 ± 0.61) × 10-10, and (2.30 ± 0.66) × 10-10 and average Re were 1.67, 1.52, 1.44, 1.56.
Conclusion: Between each year, flu transmission capacity had fluctuation. Influenza A was more transmissible than influenza B, and during the major subtypes, influenza A/H1N1 was the most transmissible.
Methods: This article established SEIABR model based on influenza cases reported by China National Influenza Center from 2010 to 2019. And calculated the transmission rate and Re by combined the natural birth rate, natural death rate, infectious rate, proportion of asymptomatic patients, proportion of untreated patients, recovery rate and fatality rate.
Results: The average infection rate of influenza was (2.38 ± 0.59) × 10-10, and influenza A was (2.24 ± 0.51) × 10-10, influenza B was (2.21 ± 0.68) × 10-10. And average Re were 1.60, 1.51, 1.49. In addition, the infection rates of A /H1N1, A/H3N2, B/Yamagata and B/Victoria were (2.47 ± 0.51) × 10-10, (2.25 ± 0.48) × 10-10, (2.15 ± 0.61) × 10-10, and (2.30 ± 0.66) × 10-10 and average Re were 1.67, 1.52, 1.44, 1.56.
Conclusion: Between each year, flu transmission capacity had fluctuation. Influenza A was more transmissible than influenza B, and during the major subtypes, influenza A/H1N1 was the most transmissible.
See Also:
Latest articles in those days:
- Generation of Nasal Cell-Derived Human Alveolar Organoids and Organoid-Macrophage Assembloids for in Vitro Lung Modeling 15 hours ago
- Determinants of the Seasonal Influenza Vaccination Uptake Among People Aged 50 Years or Above During and After the Pandemic: A Systematic Review 1 days ago
- [preprint]A GIS-based framework for standardized environmental characterization in One-Health surveillance: a case study of HPAI monitoring in wetlands 1 days ago
- First detection and transatlantic introduction of Influenza A(H3N2) subclade K (J.2.4.1) into Ecuador: insights from genomic sentinel surveillance 1 days ago
- Assessment of influenza virus and coronavirus tropism, replication competence and disease severity in ex vivo and in vitro cultures of the human respiratory tract 2 days ago
[Go Top] [Close Window]


