Chen Y, Wen Y. Spatiotemporal Distributions and Dynamics of Human Infections with the A H7N9 Avian Influenza Virus. Comput Math Methods Med. 2019 Feb 7;2019:9248246
In 2013 in mainland China, a novel avian influenza virus H7N9 began to infect humans and had aroused severe fatality in the infected humans, followed by the annual outbreaks. By methods of GIS and kriging interpolation, we get the geographical distributions. We obtain the longitudinal characteristics of these outbreaks based on statistics and diagrams. After these spatiotemporal distributions, an eco-epidemiological model is established and analyzed. In this model, the general incidence functions, the factor of fully killed infected poultry, and the virus in environment are taken into account. Theoretical analysis shows that the endemic will be formed to a large extent once the H7N9 avian influenza virus exists in poultry. On the basis of dynamics, we explore the possible disease control measures by numerical simulations. Simulations indicate that measures of vaccination in poultry and stopping live poultry transactions are the primary choices for disease control in humans, and strengthened inhibition effects and environmental disinfections can effectively control the outbreak.
See Also:
Latest articles in those days:
- [preprint]Mutational fitness landscapes of diverse human influenza H1N1 neuraminidases 7 hours ago
- [preprint]A modelling challenge to improve preparedness for highly pathogenic avian influenza epidemics: objectives, design and synthetic data generation 7 hours ago
- Influenza A H1N1 Infection Triggers Endothelial Immunothrombosis via TNF-α–Tissue Factor–Thrombin Signaling in Human Brain Microvascular Endothelial Cells 8 hours ago
- Antiviral Susceptibility of Clade 2.3.4.4b H5N1 and H5N5 Influenza Viruses Detected in Birds in Russia During 2021-2022 8 hours ago
- Dairy producers´ perceptions of highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) H5N1 and their influence on implementation of biosecurity changes 1 days ago
[Go Top] [Close Window]


